ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Map and Update, January 12, 2025

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

• The Russian people are increasingly feeling the effects of the Kremlin’s continued prioritization of the Russian defense industrial base (DIB).
• The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) stated that the Russian Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) launched on the night of January 8 to 9 struck a Ukrainian defense industrial enterprise in Lviv City, which is consistent with the available visual evidence.
• Dozens of shadow fleet tankers off the coast of Venezuela have reportedly switched to using Russian flags in recent months.
• Ukraine’s Western partners continue to provide weapons and military equipment to Ukraine.
• Neither Russian nor Ukrainian forces advanced on January 12.

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