Key Takeaways from the ISW:
- US-Ukrainian talks reportedly continued in Florida on December 1 ahead of US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff’s meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin on December 2 to present the US-Ukrainian peace proposal.
- The Kremlin is setting conditions to refrain from publicly discussing the outcomes of the December 2 US-Russian meeting, possibly in order to obfuscate Russia’s likely rejection of the US-Ukrainian peace proposal.
- Prominent Russian milbloggers continue to undermine the Kremlin’s effort to portray a Russian victory in Ukraine as imminent or inevitable.
- Russian forces are not yet confirmed to have seized all of Pokrovsk despite operating within the town for over 120 days.
- Ukraine’s European allies continue to provide military aid and support to Ukraine’s growing defense industrial base (DIB).
- The Russian military continues implementing longstanding plans to form new Russian divisions as part of the Russian military’s transition back towards a force structure based on maneuver divisions, likely in preparation for a possible future war with NATO.
- Balloon incursions in NATO airspace continue to shut down Lithuanian airports.
- Russian forces recently advanced in the Hulyaipole direction.
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